The Iran Situation - Here's What We Know; and What I have been told today
- Feb 9
- 2 min read
Source: Hal Turner
The United States has parked over $10 billion in warships, stealth fighters, and Tomahawk-loaded submarines on Iran's doorstep — including a nuclear supercarrier, 12+ warships, 35 Strike Eagles, and 50,000 troops — and you don't spend that kind of money on a bluff.
Treasury Secretary Bessent just told the Senate that Iran's own leaders are "wiring money out like crazy" because "the rats are leaving the ship," with the Supreme Leader's son allegedly moving $328 million overseas as the regime's banks collapse and its currency disintegrates.
The economic road is closed, the diplomatic road is dead, and the only road left leads straight through the regime — the stage is set, the actors are in position, and all that's missing is the spark.
This morning, I was told directly by my former Intel colleagues how it's going to go . . . . this week:
The US-Iran Deadline is this Wednesday, Feb 11.
Today oil (wti crude) is $63.
If there is a Peace Deal: Markets lower (Oil to $50).
If there is NO Deal by the time Netanyahu meets with Trump: Markets spike (Oil gaps to $70+).
Here's the timeline of what is going to happen this week:
1. Oman Talks (Mon-Tue)
Round 2 begins in Muscat.
If Iran arrives with the same talking points as Friday, the US delegation walks.
The moment the US Envoy leaves is the escalation trigger.
2. The Wednesday Meeting
Netanyahu meets Trump at the White House.
If there is no signed deal, this stops being a peace summit and becomes a targeting seminar.
Trump hates war, but he hates looking like a sucker more.
The Battle Plan
Trump gives Israel the green light to initiate, with the US to finish.
Israel Targets: Taleghan 2 (Parchin).
This is the lab where detonators are designed. It is a red line for Netanyahu.
US Targets: Fordow & Pickaxe Mountain.
Fordow: The entrance tunnels were collapsed in 2025, but thermal imaging suggests enrichment has resumed. The US B-2s will have to finish what they started.
Pickaxe Mountain: The new, ultra-deep facility south of Natanz. It must be destroyed now before the centrifuges are installed and the window closes forever.
(Note: The main halls at Natanz were already destroyed in 2025). If Wednesday passes without a "Peace in our Time" signature...
The war begins Thursday morning, Feb 12, 2026.
