COVERT INTEL - IRAN - URGENT

Source: Confidential

Date: May 23, 2025

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Flash Traffic over Intelligence Circuits:

"THE NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN IRAN AND THE UNITED STATES HAVE   -   (AHEM)   --    STALLED"   The discussions regarding the nuclear program between Iran and the United States have decelerated, and in contrast to the initial four rounds, it is no longer feasible to express optimism regarding their efficacy."

Analyst's Comments:

If the US tells Israel there will be no agreement, it it widely anticipated Israel will launch its own attack upon Iran.  Perhaps immediately.

If that takes place, it is also widely expected Iran will unleash the full potential of its Ballistic Missile Arsenal upon Israel, and likely, upon US military bases throughout the Middle East.  Iran missiles can fully reach ALL U.S. Bases in the Middle East.

It is long-known that if the US attacks Iran, the Iranians will blockade the Strait of Hormuz into and out of the Persian Gulf.  That would immediately interrupt about twenty percent (20%) of the world's DAILY oil supply.   

Staggering price increases for oil are anticipated, with some Analysts in the oil industry fearing oil could hit $300 per barrel.

That would roughly translate to gasoline at the pump reaching $10-$12 per GALLON here in the U.S.

The big unknown is what Iran ally Russia will do. Iran and Russia have signed and enabled "Strategic Agreements" within the past year.

In the past, both Russia and China have made clear "We will not allow our Ally and fellow BRICS member, Iran, to be destroyed."